Despite the fact that housing prices are said to have risen more than 3% May, is it true that they’ll soon start to fall? According to an article written by Les Christie for CNNMoney.com they are, and the author sites three main reasons for the reversal: “a coming flood of foreclosures, rising interest rates and the eventual end of the tax credits”.
More foreclosures
Seemingly, a huge number of foreclosures remain in the pipeline and will surface in 2010 according to the article “because of shortcomings of the government-led mortgage modification programs. Trial workouts are not being made permanent and completed modifications are redefaulting at high rates.” Gus Faucher, the director of macroeconomics for Moody’s Economy.com is quoted as saying, “There are going to be fewer [successful] modifications than we thought.”
Another issue pointed out by the article regards the more than 350,000 option-ARM (adjustable rate mortgages) borrowers whose loans will change into fully amortizing mortgages that will carry much higher monthly payments and result in a very large percentage of those homeowners to default as the value of their homes dips well below the amount they owe.
Rising interest rates
According to the article, rates for a 30-year mortgage will pass 6% next year as the government curtails housing market support. “The Federal Reserve has helped keep rates low through purchases of mortgage-backed securities. But that program is winding down and will end in March.”
The end of the tax credit
The tax credit initiated by the government to support housing markets and prices by reducing taxes by up to $8,000 for new home buyers and $6,500 for buyers who already own a home ends at the end of April. “Many buyers will push their deals forward to get in before the deadline and then demand for homes could sink afterward,” the article states.
Read this and other real estate news at jameskobzeff.com.
